Battery costs moving forward could be as low as $150 per kilowatt-hour in under ten years.

Nissan Remains Quiet Amidst Rumours of Longer-Range 2016 Nissan LEAF. Here’s Our Take

On sale since December 2010, Nissan’s all-electric LEAF hatchback is currently the world’s best-selling electric car, with more than 120,000 examples sold to date.

With the exception of a few fairly major changes — the first being a more efficient power electronics, charger, motor and HVAC system when Nissan moved production from a single facility in Japan to two additional factories in the U.S. and UK for the 2013 model year; the second being a gradual improvement in battery chemistry for improved battery longevity in hot desert climates– there’s very little difference between the 2015 model year LEAF and the very first 2011 LEAFs.

Rumors suggest Nissan is about to increase the capacity of its LEAF battery pack

Rumors suggest Nissan is about to increase the capacity of its LEAF battery pack

Yet according to a rumour posted on both Facebook and the My Nissan LEAF forum, the 2016 Nissan LEAF SV and 2016 Nissan LEAF SL– due to hit dealer lots this summer — will include a larger, longer-range battery pack capable of storing not the 24 kilowatt-hours of previous model year LEAFs and the 2016 Nissan LEAF S, but 30 kilowatt-hours.

At the time of writing, Nissan is adamant that there’s nothing to report.

A larger battery pack would also indicate a longer range, which we’d guess would be somewhere around 100 miles on the EPA test cycle.

Naturally, the first thing we did was reach out to Nissan for official comment to confirm or deny this rumour, but as of the time of writing, Nissan is adamant that there’s nothing to report.

“We have made no public announcement about the 2016 Nissan LEAF,” said Brian Brockman, Senior Manager of Corporate Communications at Nissan North America. ” We do not comment on future product details.”

Is the Nissan LEAF about to get a range increase? It's plausible, but unconfirmed.

Is the Nissan LEAF about to get a range increase? It’s plausible, but unconfirmed.

In the world of automotive press, that’s the equivalent of a polite ‘No comment.’ Some outlets may infer that polite and succinct response is proof that the rumours are indeed true under the old adage that ‘there’s no smoke without fire.’ Others would play the line more cautiously, saying that rumors only become fact when confirmed by at least two independent sources that are known for their authority on the subject.

We’ve tried to obtain such a confirmation from our various sources, but at the moment we’ve been unable to substantiate the rumours either way. Most of our sources point to the rumours as being ‘a possibility,’ but nobody is willing to discuss the rumoured improvement either on or off the record.

Normally when faced with such an uncommitted response to such a rumor, we’d treat the rumor itself as particularly suspect. In this case, however, we’re willing to at least treat the rumors as plausible, but not confirmed.

Here’s why.

For a start, we know that Nissan is working hard to bring the next-generation Nissan LEAF to market, a car which is both more mainstream in its appearance and appeal as well as offering at least double the range of the current model.

That model is generally expected to debut as a 2017 model year car, not a 2016 model year car, and will likely coincide with the launch of an all-new, 2017 model-year all-electric Infiniti sedan based on next-generation Nissan LEAF technology.

Nissan’s consistency on pegging both cars in various interviews and speeches as 2017 model year vehicles makes an early release unlikely, which brings us to another, more intriguing possibility: Nissan’s battery technology is ready for a leap in energy density, and the Japanese automaker is about to test it in the outgoing LEAF.

Despite Nissan’s noncommittal, there’s some logic to the rumor

From our tour of Nissan’s lithium-ion manufacturing facility in Sunderland, UK last year, Nissan openly talked about the continuing process of improvement being made to its battery packs.

Nissan is constantly refining its technology

Nissan is constantly refining its technology

While 2015 Nissan LEAF battery packs are no larger in capacity than the original 2011 Nissan LEAF battery packs for example, they are made of improved chemistry cells which are both longer-lasting and more capable of withstanding the extreme heats of climates like Phoenix, Arizona than the original 2011 Nissan LEAF battery cells were.

It’s entirely concievable that Nissan’s latest battery cell technology is both more energy dense and longer-life than even the packs used in the 2015 Nissan LEAF. Rather than wait until the next-generation 2017 Nissan LEAF, using these improved battery cells in the 2016 Nissan LEAF could give Nissan a real competitive advantage on the competition, including the 2016 Volkswagen e-Golf and 2016 Kia Soul EV.

Moreover, it could help Nissan refine its battery pack technology further on the way to perhaps producing an even more energy-dense, longer-range battery pack in the 2017 LEAF, helping it compete more directly in the marketplace with GM’s 200-mile 2017 Chevrolet Bolt EV, which is due to enter production in October next year as a 2017 model-year car.

Finally, we’d like to cite the Nissan e-NV200 as the final reason the rumors of the 2016 LEAF battery pack capacity increase could be true.

In production in Europe for nearly a year, the all-electric e-NV200 hasn’t entered the U.S. market yet due to concerns about its range. Based on the same motor and battery pack found in the current-generation Nissan LEAF, the e-NV200’s larger frontal area and higher coefficient of drag means that its range is far lower that of a Nissan LEAF and nearer to 65 miles of real-world driving than the 75 or so miles of the LEAF.

Speaking candidly in the past, Nissan executives have promised the e-NV200 will enter the U.S. market as and when it has an improved, longer-range, more energy dense battery pack to offer in the versatile minivan. We think that day may soon be upon us.

If true, the rumor could mark the start of sales of the e-NV200 in the U.S.

If true, the rumor could mark the start of sales of the e-NV200 in the U.S.

As we said earlier in this article, we feel unable to confirm or dismiss this rumor at the current time — but if that changes, we’ll make sure you’re the first to know.

In the meantime, we’re curious to know what you think about a potential battery capacity increase for next-year’s LEAF. Would you welcome it? Would you pay any more for it? And would those extra few kilowatt-hours be enough to make a substantial difference to your ownership experience?

Leave your thoughts in the Comments below.


Want to keep up with the latest news in evolving transport? Don’t forget to follow Transport Evolved on Twitter, like us on Facebook and G+, and subscribe to our YouTube channel.

You can also support us directly as a monthly supporting member by visiting

Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+Share on LinkedInDigg thisShare on RedditEmail this to someonePin on Pinterest

Related News

  • jeffsongster

    My money is on true… since it would also be a classy act if that new, denser pack were fully backwards compatible as the current one is. (yes I know about the needed adapter hardware for 2011-12 models… but still)
    My money is on that and the eNV-200 news. The bigger battery would make that vehicle far more useful. We have seen in the iMiev what 65 mile ranges sell like when everything else is 85ish. Looking forward to the announcement and details from Nissan. Hopeful that it happens soon.

  • Andy

    If its backwards compatible to the 2013-15 models it would also potentially increase the resale value of those cars as you could eventually swap to the larger pack making those cars more useful. The current pack is 24 but reserves 4kw to protect the battery from damage, increasing it to 30 while reserving 4-5kw would add another 20-25 miles range, that’s a nice increase.

  • Yes, a 20% increase in capacity while not apparently that significant would make make a positive difference for many drivers (and potentially many more new EV drivers).

    It’s not so much the current range capability of the LEAF in normal driving conditions that its when a bit of extra capacity is needed; just a few times per year. eg: in extreme temperature, or during precipitation events, the range of the LEAF may get close to a comfort limit. With an extra 5-6 kWh of capacity, the comfort level of most drives will be satisfied, with range meeting expectations for a normal day of driving.

  • They have to offer this as an upgrade for earlier models. This would bolster resale value and increase the model’s profile with the general public.

    • It would be a very nice option. I wouldn’t pay for a larger battery right now, as the current battery works fine for my current in-town driving needs. But I tend to keep cars until they are worn out (I sold my Mustang recently with 238,000 miles on it), and so around 120,000 miles I will probably be in the market. Of course, by then I’m hoping a compatible 200+ mile range upgrade will be available. 🙂

      • I think a 25% battery boost is feasible without too many engineering problems, but a 150% upgrade is not affordable, technically possible, nor in Nissan’s economic interest if they want to sell 2017 models 🙂

        A man can dream, though…

  • Michael Thwaite

    What would it do to new car sales if the old could be upgraded?

  • anderlan

    YES. YES. YES. I make 225 mile trips in my LEAF and Chademos are multiplying. If I can stay on the highway for 20 more minutes between charges, that speeds up my trips. And it makes possible routes that were not possible before. Plus, a bigger battery pack is a longer lasting battery pack (fewer battery cycles per mile). Finally, a bigger battery pack packs a bigger punch of power; not sure if Nissan will upgrade the controller and motor to take advantage, but it might.

  • Michael Walsh

    If Nissan were to offer an upgraded battery back to original 2011-2013 LEAF owners, there would be high labor charges, an elaborate management program would have to be developed– and new warranties would have to be offered. That’s a whole lot of effort. Since dealers are stuck with returning leases and have to sell them at a steep discount, Nissan can chuckle at that, it’s not their problem. So I don’t see Nissan going to all that trouble since who is going to pay $5000 to $8000 to buy a new battery pack when they can dump their old one and lease a 2017 with was better styling and get a new car==> for $200 to $300 a month on a new lease? TESLA has the balls to offer a replacement pack for the first Roadsters, improving range to 400 miles! But they are an entirely different company…and those deep pocketed buyers can afford to shell out $7-8 Grand.

Content Copyright (c) 2016 Transport Evolved LLC