Which Company Is Winning In Autonomous Vehicle Development? One Study Suggests It’s Not Tesla…

It doesn’t matter if you’re a fan of them or wouldn’t trust your life to one — autonomous cars, be they the fully autonomous pod-like things that Alphabet’s Waymo is developing or fairly conventional looking cars with steering wheels and traditional pedals alongside some super-advanced AI — are here to stay.

But which companies (automotive or otherwise) are leading the world when it comes to autonomous vehicle development, marketability, and long term prospects?

You might think it’s Tesla — we certainly did — but one new study suggests that’s not the case. The leaders right now? Ford, GM and Renault-Nissan.

Watch the video above to find out more and leave your thoughts in the Comments below.

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  • Martin Lacey

    So in other words Navigant considered product capability as the least appropriate measure, because Nissan are way ahead of anything seen on the roads from GM and Ford! Lidar has yet to work well in inclement weather.

  • jheartney

    To me the real wild card in vehicle autonomy is the question of getting to the last 5-10% of level 5 capability. Like many engineering problems, vehicle autonomy tech is easiest to advance during the early parts, with progress becoming increasingly difficult as you get closer to full implementation. To illustrate what I mean, consider the recent LEAF demos in London. Robert Llewellyn’s video features the vehicle handling the full ride without intervention. However in other tests the same vehicle had to be taken over by its driver several times during demanding situations. This despite years of development.

    So far as I know, no one has yet achieved 100% Level 5 autonomy for self-piloting vehicles in any platform. It’s possible they never will. (Hoping they do; but hope is not a plan, and we have yet to see if full autonomy is actually doable as yet.) It could be that AI systems are just too limited to handle real-world unpredictability. We won’t know this is false until we get something much closer to full autonomy, working 100% of the time, in a real-world vehicle. Once that’s been shown to be achievable, then we can ask about which manufacturers will be first to market with it.

    IMHO both Uber and Tesla are probably too quick to attempt to get to the final product. You probably really need lidar, for example, and Tesla just can’t incorporate that only using software.